Event 124

{
  "border_violation_countries": [
    "LV-RU"
  ],
  "category": "Uncategorized",
  "confidence": "Low",
  "confidence_rationale": "The screenshot provides clear, annotated map visualizations and supporting text that match known OSINT methodologies for wargaming defensive scenarios. The Latvian text explicitly discusses potential attack directions and vulnerabilities.",
  "countries": [
    "Latvia",
    "Russia"
  ],
  "country": "Latvia",
  "defense_prep": {
    "links": [
      "https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1757682916518162729.html"
    ],
    "title": "????A very good discussion about Russian army strategy wrt Latvia. In Latvian"
  },
  "description": "A Latvian-language analysis thread discussing scenarios for a potential Russian military attack against Latvia, focusing on vulnerable axis of advance and critical transportation choke points near the Latvian-Russian border and the role of Narva and Ludza. Annotated maps indicate possible directions and focuses of a hypothetical incursion.",
  "event_time_utc": "2024-02-14T12:00:00Z",
  "evidence": [
    "Multiple annotated maps showing arrows and marked regions for potential Russian advances into Latvia.",
    "Textual scenario analysis of routes from Russia into Latvia, with times/distances calculated and critical junctions identified.",
    "Labels on maps in Latvian translating as 'attack directions', 'main resistance assumptions', and 'all roads marked'."
  ],
  "evidence_quotes": [
    "Maskavijas uzbrukuma posmi",
    "šeit ir galvenie pretestības minējumi un jāveic arterālo koridoru komandieri",
    "šeit ir iezīmēti VISI ceļi"
  ],
  "extra": {
    "extra": {
      "extra": {
        "extra": {
          "evidence": [
            "Multiple annotated maps showing arrows and marked regions for potential Russian advances into Latvia.",
            "Textual scenario analysis of routes from Russia into Latvia, with times/distances calculated and critical junctions identified.",
            "Labels on maps in Latvian translating as 'attack directions', 'main resistance assumptions', and 'all roads marked'."
          ]
        }
      }
    }
  },
  "follow_up_by_country": [],
  "headline": "Analysis of possible Russian attack axes into Latvia",
  "location_text": "Latvian-Russian border, Ludza region, Narva area",
  "media_assets": [
    {
      "description": "Screenshot capture",
      "type": "screenshot",
      "url": "/media/event_124_1763916820_926a8924.jpg"
    }
  ],
  "notes": "????A very good discussion about Russian army strategy wrt Latvia. In Latvian",
  "schema_version": "v1",
  "screenshot_count": 1,
  "sources": [
    "https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1757682916518162729.html"
  ],
  "summary_short": "Latvian-language OSINT thread assesses possible Russian attack routes into Latvia, identifying vulnerable border areas and critical road/rail junctions.",
  "url": "https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1757682916518162729.html"
}

{
  "5th Column of Russians Inside (which countries)": "",
  "Attack Type": "",
  "Borders Including Sea, Air,  Violation or Sabotage (which countries)": "LV-RU",
  "Continuous? (e.g. Jammers)": "",
  "Country (FI;EE;LV;LT;PL;BSR;Air)\nSeparated by Semicolon": "LV",
  "Date": "14-Feb-24",
  "Defense Prep Event (FI-EE-LV-LT-PL)": "????A very good discussion about Russian army strategy wrt Latvia. In Latvian",
  "Defense Prep Event (FI-EE-LV-LT-PL) REF LINK": "https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1757682916518162729.html",
  "Follow-Up Link?  (FI,EE,LV,LT,PL, BSR, Air)": "",
  "Follow-Up NOTES": "",
  "Follow-Up incl. Investigation, Prosecution?  (FI,EE,LV,LT,PL, BSR, Air)": "",
  "Latitude, Longitude (WGS84, Decimal Degrees)": "",
  "NOTES": "????A very good discussion about Russian army strategy wrt Latvia. In Latvian",
  "Political Disruptions w/ Laws to Favor Kremlin (which countries)": "",
  "Russian-Belarus Terrorist Event (FI-EE-LV-LT-PL)": "",
  "Russian-Belarus Terrorist Event (FI-EE-LV-LT-PL) REF LINK": "",
  "Screen Snapshot": "",
  "Screen Snapshots": "",
  "Type Dropdown": "",
  "Where?\n(Air, Land, Sea)": ""
}