Event 202

{
  "border_violation_countries": [
    "LV-LT-PL-RU-BY"
  ],
  "category": "Kinetic",
  "confidence": "Low",
  "confidence_rationale": "Confirmation by Western officials and presence of supporting open-source satellite analysis of relevant construction activity. Specific defense and political statements quoted from multiple NATO/EU officials.",
  "countries": [
    "Russia",
    "Belarus",
    "Latvia",
    "Lithuania",
    "Poland"
  ],
  "country": "Belarus",
  "defense_prep": {},
  "description": "Western officials have confirmed that Russia has moved tactical nuclear weapons into Belarus, significantly closer to NATO territory. Analysis of open-source satellite imagery suggests new storage and security infrastructure constructed at Asipovichy (near an Iskander missile base) and at Prudok (bunker and storage garage near a railway entrance). The move is seen as part of Russia's ongoing nuclear signaling toward NATO. NATO leaders acknowledge the move but argue it does not fundamentally alter the security balance. The Lithuanian defense minister calls for a stronger Western/NATO response.",
  "event_time_utc": "2024-03-17T12:00:00Z",
  "evidence": [
    "Western officials on the record to Foreign Policy confirming Russian nuclear movement into Belarus.",
    "Open-source satellite imagery analysis highlights new construction at Asipovichy and Prudok.",
    "Statements from Lithuanian and Polish officials urging stronger NATO deterrence."
  ],
  "evidence_quotes": [
    "Russia has moved tactical nuclear weapons from its own borders into neighboring Belarus, several hundred miles closer to NATO territory, Western officials confirmed for the first time on the record to Foreign Policy...",
    "Open-source analysts such as Hans Kristensen have focused on two particular sites in Belarus.",
    "In the town of Asipovichy near a Russian base for Iskander missiles, officials have built a quadruple-layered security fence and garrison garages for potential bunker and warhead storage",
    "In the northeast corner of Belarus, in the town of Prudok, Russia appears to have constructed a bunker and a large storage garage near a railway entrance.",
    "\"We would like to see a harder response on that,” Anusauskas said. “If [the] Russians move nuclear weapons closer to us, we need to move as well.\""
  ],
  "evidence_urls": [
    "https://www.linkedin.com/feed/update/urn:li:activity:7174766359770230784/"
  ],
  "extra": {
    "category_raw": "Military Nuclear Movement",
    "extra": {
      "extra": {
        "extra": {
          "evidence": [
            "Western officials on the record to Foreign Policy confirming Russian nuclear movement into Belarus.",
            "Open-source satellite imagery analysis highlights new construction at Asipovichy and Prudok.",
            "Statements from Lithuanian and Polish officials urging stronger NATO deterrence."
          ]
        }
      }
    }
  },
  "follow_up_by_country": [],
  "headline": "Russia has moved tactical nuclear weapons from its own borders into neighboring Belarus, several hundred miles closer to NATO territory, Western officials confirmed for the first time on the record to Foreign Policy, as Russian President Vladimir Putin threatens a wider military showdown with the alliance over its continued support for Ukraine.",
  "location_text": "Asipovichy and Prudok, Belarus",
  "media_assets": [
    {
      "description": "Screenshot capture",
      "type": "screenshot",
      "url": "/media/event_202_1763919494_87cfcf06.jpg"
    }
  ],
  "notes": "Russia  moved tactical nuclear weapons to ??Belarus",
  "schema_version": "v1",
  "screenshot_count": 1,
  "sources": [
    "https://www.linkedin.com/feed/update/urn:li:activity:7174766359770230784/"
  ],
  "summary_short": "Western officials confirm Russia has deployed tactical nuclear weapons to Belarus, including new storage infrastructure at key military sites, increasing pressure on NATO.",
  "url": "https://www.linkedin.com/feed/update/urn:li:activity:7174766359770230784/"
}

{
  "5th Column of Russians Inside (which countries)": "",
  "Attack Type": "Military Nuclear Movement",
  "Borders Including Sea, Air,  Violation or Sabotage (which countries)": "LV-LT-PL-RU-BY",
  "Continuous? (e.g. Jammers)": "",
  "Country (FI;EE;LV;LT;PL;BSR;Air)\nSeparated by Semicolon": "LV;LT;PL",
  "Date": "17-Mar-24",
  "Defense Prep Event (FI-EE-LV-LT-PL)": "",
  "Defense Prep Event (FI-EE-LV-LT-PL) REF LINK": "",
  "Follow-Up Link?  (FI,EE,LV,LT,PL, BSR, Air)": "",
  "Follow-Up NOTES": "",
  "Follow-Up incl. Investigation, Prosecution?  (FI,EE,LV,LT,PL, BSR, Air)": "",
  "Latitude, Longitude (WGS84, Decimal Degrees)": "",
  "NOTES": "Russia  moved tactical nuclear weapons to ??Belarus",
  "Political Disruptions w/ Laws to Favor Kremlin (which countries)": "",
  "Russian-Belarus Terrorist Event (FI-EE-LV-LT-PL)": "Jack Detsch: ??Russia moved tactical nuclear weapons to ??Belarus",
  "Russian-Belarus Terrorist Event (FI-EE-LV-LT-PL) REF LINK": "https://www.linkedin.com/feed/update/urn:li:activity:7174766359770230784/",
  "Screen Snapshot": "",
  "Screen Snapshots": "",
  "Type Dropdown": "",
  "Where?\n(Air, Land, Sea)": ""
}