Event 345

{
  "category": "EW",
  "confidence": "High",
  "countries": [
    "Russia",
    "Denmark",
    "Poland",
    "Estonia",
    "Sweden",
    "Finland",
    "United Kingdom",
    "United States of America",
    "Germany",
    "Baltic Sea Region"
  ],
  "country": "Russia",
  "description": "A secret Russian electronic warfare weapon system, called Tobol, has been built in Kaliningrad and is suspected of jamming GPS signals over the Baltic Sea, affecting air navigation across Denmark, Poland, Estonia, Sweden, and surrounding countries. The system reportedly disrupts GPS on passenger and military flights, leading to route diversions and potentially dangerous situations. Several incidents in early 2024, including the forced return of Finnair flights, GPS jamming experienced by the UK defense minister's flight, and the crash of a US MQ-9 Reaper drone near Poland, are suspected to be linked to this jamming. Russian military bases near Kaliningrad, such as the 841st Separate Electronic Warfare Center and the 92626 unit near Pionerskij, are sites of these electronic warfare deployments. The Russian military's capabilities in electronic warfare reportedly surpass NATO technologies, with AI-enabled systems that autonomously identify and jam targets. The Tobol system and other advanced jamming equipment enable Russia to disrupt radar and communication over hundreds of kilometers, posing significant risks to civilian and military aviation in Northern Europe.",
  "event_time_utc": "2024-05-04T12:00:00Z",
  "evidence": [
    "Putin har bygget et hemmeligt våben i Kaliningrad – og Danmark kan være i skudlinjen - TV 2",
    "Foto: Russian Space Systems - det russiske våbensystem Tobol mistænkes for at jamme gps-signaler.",
    "Rapporter om gps-jamming påvirker passagerfly, bl.a. Finnair, britisk forsvarsminister Grant Shapps og styrtet amerikansk MQ-9 Reaper drone i marts 2024.",
    "Analytiker Marcus Jonssons kortlægning viser jamming med centrum i Kaliningrad og nær Sankt Petersborg.",
    "Russiske elektroniske krigsføringsenheder 841. Særskilte Center for Elektronisk Krigsførelse og enhed 92626 i Kaliningrad nævnes som baser for disse systemer.",
    "Det russiske system Tobol omtales som tophemmeligt og mistænkes for at spille en central rolle i den observerede jamming.",
    "Jamestown Foundation vurderer russisk elektronisk krigsførelse overgår NATO-teknologi og bruger AI til selvstændig jamning.",
    "Artiklen fra TV 2 dateret 4. maj 2024 rapporterer om udbredt jamming over Østersøen som et russisk forsøg på at slå GPS og radiokommunikation i Europa ud."
  ],
  "extra": {
    "extra": {
      "extra": {
        "category_raw": "Electronic Warfare",
        "evidence": [
          "Putin har bygget et hemmeligt våben i Kaliningrad – og Danmark kan være i skudlinjen - TV 2",
          "Foto: Russian Space Systems - det russiske våbensystem Tobol mistænkes for at jamme gps-signaler.",
          "Rapporter om gps-jamming påvirker passagerfly, bl.a. Finnair, britisk forsvarsminister Grant Shapps og styrtet amerikansk MQ-9 Reaper drone i marts 2024.",
          "Analytiker Marcus Jonssons kortlægning viser jamming med centrum i Kaliningrad og nær Sankt Petersborg.",
          "Russiske elektroniske krigsføringsenheder 841. Særskilte Center for Elektronisk Krigsførelse og enhed 92626 i Kaliningrad nævnes som baser for disse systemer.",
          "Det russiske system Tobol omtales som tophemmeligt og mistænkes for at spille en central rolle i den observerede jamming.",
          "Jamestown Foundation vurderer russisk elektronisk krigsførelse overgår NATO-teknologi og bruger AI til selvstændig jamning.",
          "Artiklen fra TV 2 dateret 4. maj 2024 rapporterer om udbredt jamming over Østersøen som et russisk forsøg på at slå GPS og radiokommunikation i Europa ud."
        ]
      }
    }
  },
  "schema_version": "v1",
  "summary_extended": "In 2024, Russia deployed a highly advanced secret electronic warfare system named Tobol in Kaliningrad, which is suspected of jamming GPS signals across the Baltic Sea region. This jamming has caused significant disruption to passenger flights, including Finnair flights diverted mid-route and GPS signal loss on a flight carrying the UK defense minister. Moreover, a US MQ-9 Reaper drone crashed near Poland amid GPS interference, highlighting potential military implications. Kaliningrad hosts key Russian military units specializing in electronic warfare, including the 841st Separate Electronic Warfare Center near Jantarnij and unit 92626 at Pionerskij, both equipped with high-capacity jamming and radar disruption systems. These electronic warfare capabilities leverage artificial intelligence to autonomously pinpoint and jam targets over large areas, outperforming NATO counterparts. The jamming extends effectively up to 300 kilometers around Kaliningrad and parts of Northwest Russia, creating a strategic threat to navigation safety and regional security for air traffic over Denmark, the Baltic states, and surrounding countries. Analysts warn that Russia's continued investment in electronic warfare elevates the risk of incidents involving civilian and military aviation in Northern Europe. Ongoing monitoring and analysis of jamming patterns and Russian electronic warfare deployments in Kaliningrad are critical to anticipate further escalation.",
  "summary_short": "Russia's secret Tobol electronic warfare system in Kaliningrad jams GPS signals over the Baltic Sea, impacting flights in Denmark and neighboring countries.",
  "url": "https://nyheder.tv2.dk/udland/2024-04-30-putin-har-bygget-et-hemmeligt-vaaben-i-kaliningrad-og-danmark-kan-vaere-i-skudlinjen"
}

{
  "5th Column of Russians Inside (which countries)": "",
  "Attack Type": "GPS Jamming",
  "Borders Including Sea, Air,  Violation or Sabotage (which countries)": "BSR Air",
  "Continuous? (e.g. Jammers)": "GPS Jamming",
  "Country (FI;EE;LV;LT;PL;BSR;Air)\nSeparated by Semicolon": "BSR",
  "Date": "4-May-24",
  "Defense Prep Event (FI-EE-LV-LT-PL)": "",
  "Defense Prep Event (FI-EE-LV-LT-PL) REF LINK": "",
  "Follow-Up Link?  (FI,EE,LV,LT,PL, BSR, Air)": "https://nyheder.tv2.dk/udland/2024-04-30-putin-har-bygget-et-hemmeligt-vaaben-i-kaliningrad-og-danmark-kan-vaere-i-skudlinjen",
  "Follow-Up NOTES": "",
  "Follow-Up incl. Investigation, Prosecution?  (FI,EE,LV,LT,PL, BSR, Air)": "??Kaliningrad jammer described. A very good analysis collecting auonsson's data and that from his community. ",
  "Latitude, Longitude (WGS84, Decimal Degrees)": "",
  "NOTES": "??Kaliningrad jammer described.",
  "Political Disruptions w/ Laws to Favor Kremlin (which countries)": "",
  "Russian-Belarus Terrorist Event (FI-EE-LV-LT-PL)": "",
  "Russian-Belarus Terrorist Event (FI-EE-LV-LT-PL) REF LINK": "",
  "Screen Snapshot": "",
  "Screen Snapshots": "",
  "Type Dropdown": "",
  "Where?\n(Air, Land, Sea)": ""
}