Event 505

{
  "border_violation_countries": [
    "RUS",
    "POL",
    "LTU",
    "LT",
    "PL",
    "RU"
  ],
  "border_violation_modes": [
    "Land"
  ],
  "category": "Uncategorized",
  "confidence": "Low",
  "confidence_rationale": "Multiple direct quotes from open-source reporting, veteran testimony, and Telegram channels are provided. Details are corroborated by repeated referenced statements and the summary is consistent with social OSINT patterns.",
  "countries": [
    "Russia",
    "Poland",
    "Lithuania"
  ],
  "country": "Russia",
  "defense_prep": {},
  "description": "Reporting suggests that Russia’s border with Poland and Lithuania is seeing reduced security presence due to a lack of manpower, as per veterans and open-source channels. The Russian FSB is said to be resisting proposals for expanded border defence involving summoning reservists and veterans.",
  "event_time_utc": "2024-08-10T12:00:00Z",
  "evidence": [
    "Screenshot map referencing Kaliningrad and the Poland/Lithuania borders",
    "Explicit veteran/Telegram claims of minimal border guard presence, unit shortages, and FSB strategic reluctance"
  ],
  "evidence_quotes": [
    "The border between Russia's Kaliningrad exclave and its neighbours Poland and Lithuania is reportedly barely guarded due to a lack of manpower.",
    "\"How do they guard the border (with Poland and Lithuania) in the Kaliningrad region now?\"",
    "\"7500 people were sent, 120 returned and immediately went on vacation for a month. Then back to training and on a mission. The only hope is for conscripts.\"",
    "The FSB stubbornly does not want to establish, recruit [a] unit of former military personnel and officers who previously served in the MMG.",
    "With about 7,000 members, the Border Guard is one of Russia’s largest armed formations, but are entirely separate from the Russian Armed Forces."
  ],
  "extra": {
    "extra": {
      "extra": {
        "extra": {
          "evidence": [
            "Screenshot map referencing Kaliningrad and the Poland/Lithuania borders",
            "Explicit veteran/Telegram claims of minimal border guard presence, unit shortages, and FSB strategic reluctance"
          ]
        }
      }
    }
  },
  "follow_up_by_country": [],
  "follow_up_notes": "??Kaliningrad border with ??Lithuania and ??Poland poorly guarded",
  "headline": "The border between Russia's Kaliningrad exclave and its neighbours Poland and Lithuania is reportedly barely guarded due to a lack of manpower.",
  "location_text": "Kaliningrad border region (Russia-Poland/Lithuania)",
  "media_assets": [
    {
      "description": "Screenshot capture",
      "type": "screenshot",
      "url": "/media/event_505_1763929184_57b2ffbf.jpg"
    }
  ],
  "notes": "Low guard presence at key borders",
  "schema_version": "v1",
  "screenshot_count": 1,
  "sources": [
    "https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1822266089906081851.html"
  ],
  "summary_short": "Russian Kaliningrad border with Poland and Lithuania faces critical manpower shortages, leaving it barely guarded.",
  "url": "https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1822266089906081851.html"
}

{
  "5th Column of Russians Inside (which countries)": "",
  "Attack Type": "",
  "Borders Including Sea, Air,  Violation or Sabotage (which countries)": "LT PL RU",
  "Continuous? (e.g. Jammers)": "",
  "Country (FI;EE;LV;LT;PL;BSR;Air)\nSeparated by Semicolon": "LT;PL",
  "Date": "10-Aug-24",
  "Defense Prep Event (FI-EE-LV-LT-PL)": "",
  "Defense Prep Event (FI-EE-LV-LT-PL) REF LINK": "",
  "Follow-Up Link?  (FI,EE,LV,LT,PL, BSR, Air)": "https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1822266089906081851.html",
  "Follow-Up NOTES": "",
  "Follow-Up incl. Investigation, Prosecution?  (FI,EE,LV,LT,PL, BSR, Air)": "??Kaliningrad border with ??Lithuania and ??Poland poorly guarded",
  "Latitude, Longitude (WGS84, Decimal Degrees)": "",
  "NOTES": "Low guard presence at key borders",
  "Political Disruptions w/ Laws to Favor Kremlin (which countries)": "",
  "Russian-Belarus Terrorist Event (FI-EE-LV-LT-PL)": "",
  "Russian-Belarus Terrorist Event (FI-EE-LV-LT-PL) REF LINK": "",
  "Screen Snapshot": "",
  "Screen Snapshots": "",
  "Type Dropdown": "",
  "Where?\n(Air, Land, Sea)": ""
}