Event 831

{
  "border_violation_countries": [
    "Belarus",
    "Poland",
    "Lithuania",
    "LV",
    "LT",
    "PL",
    "BY"
  ],
  "border_violation_modes": [
    "Land"
  ],
  "category": "Border",
  "confidence": "Low",
  "confidence_rationale": "Direct press citations, expert commentary, and historical continuity of similar border incidents provide high confidence. The numbers and hybrid context are attributed to informed officials and analysts.",
  "continuous_since": "2021-07-01T12:00:00Z",
  "continuous_summary": "Since mid-2021, there have been ongoing efforts to push migrants towards the Polish and Lithuanian borders from Belarus, with periodic escalations.",
  "countries": [
    "Poland",
    "Lithuania",
    "Belarus"
  ],
  "country": "Poland",
  "defense_prep": {},
  "description": "Polish media report growing concerns about a potential massive increase in migrants, estimated at up to 150,000, possibly directed to the Polish and Lithuanian borders via Belarus. Officials and experts warn that these numbers would represent a major escalation and potential threat, raising fears of 'weaponized migration' as a hybrid tactic.",
  "event_time_utc": "2025-04-15T12:00:00Z",
  "evidence": [
    "Headline and article body refer to anticipated escalation of migrant numbers up to 150,000 on the Polish/Lithuanian borders with Belarus.",
    "Direct quotations describe the pressure on the border and the involvement of Belarusian authorities."
  ],
  "evidence_quotes": [
    "Zagrożenie na granicy gwałtownie wzrośnie! 150 tysięcy to nie są żarty",
    "W ciągu kilku lat 283 tysięcy emigrantów wyjechało przez granicę z Polską i Litwą. Teraz mówi się o przyjęciu na Białoruś i rzuceniu na granicę nawet 150 tys.",
    "\"Wow, ależ myśli Putiniowi skończyły się na wojnie. 'Koniec, pociąg odjechał'.\"",
    "Ekspert tłumaczy, że praca na Białorusi to tylko przykrywka, a 'pakietowymi przyjaciółmi' nie wahałoby się posłużyć władze Białorusi"
  ],
  "extra": {
    "category_raw": "Immigration Infiltration",
    "extra": {
      "extra": {
        "extra": {
          "evidence": [
            "Headline and article body refer to anticipated escalation of migrant numbers up to 150,000 on the Polish/Lithuanian borders with Belarus.",
            "Direct quotations describe the pressure on the border and the involvement of Belarusian authorities."
          ]
        }
      }
    }
  },
  "follow_up_by_country": [],
  "follow_up_notes": "150,000 Pakistanis reportedly set to work in ??Belarus, raising security concerns for Eastern Flank.",
  "headline": "Zagrożenie na granicy gwałtownie wzrośnie! 150 tysięcy to nie są żarty",
  "is_continuous": true,
  "media_assets": [
    {
      "description": "Screenshot capture",
      "type": "screenshot",
      "url": "/media/event_831_1763939967_6d299e78.jpg"
    }
  ],
  "notes": "Reported influx of 150K Pakistani workers into ??Belarus could be exploited by hostile intelligence services or organized groups to destabilize the Eastern Flank.",
  "schema_version": "v1",
  "screenshot_count": 1,
  "sources": [
    "https://kresy24.pl/zagrozenie-na-granicy-gwaltownie-wzrosnie-150-tys-to-nie-sa-zarty/"
  ],
  "summary_short": "Polish and Lithuanian authorities warn of the risk of up to 150,000 migrants being sent to the border from Belarus, signaling possible escalation in hybrid threats.",
  "url": "https://kresy24.pl/zagrozenie-na-granicy-gwaltownie-wzrosnie-150-tys-to-nie-sa-zarty/"
}

{
  "5th Column of Russians Inside (which countries)": "",
  "Attack Type": "Immigration Infiltration",
  "Borders Including Sea, Air,  Violation or Sabotage (which countries)": "LV, LT, PL, BY",
  "Continuous? (e.g. Jammers)": "",
  "Country (FI;EE;LV;LT;PL;BSR;Air)\nSeparated by Semicolon": "BSR",
  "Date": "15-Apr-25",
  "Defense Prep Event (FI-EE-LV-LT-PL)": "",
  "Defense Prep Event (FI-EE-LV-LT-PL) REF LINK": "",
  "Follow-Up Link?  (FI,EE,LV,LT,PL, BSR, Air)": "https://kresy24.pl/zagrozenie-na-granicy-gwaltownie-wzrosnie-150-tys-to-nie-sa-zarty/",
  "Follow-Up NOTES": "",
  "Follow-Up incl. Investigation, Prosecution?  (FI,EE,LV,LT,PL, BSR, Air)": "150,000 Pakistanis reportedly set to work in ??Belarus, raising security concerns for Eastern Flank.",
  "Latitude, Longitude (WGS84, Decimal Degrees)": "",
  "NOTES": "Reported influx of 150K Pakistani workers into ??Belarus could be exploited by hostile intelligence services or organized groups to destabilize the Eastern Flank.",
  "Political Disruptions w/ Laws to Favor Kremlin (which countries)": "",
  "Russian-Belarus Terrorist Event (FI-EE-LV-LT-PL)": "",
  "Russian-Belarus Terrorist Event (FI-EE-LV-LT-PL) REF LINK": "",
  "Screen Snapshot": "",
  "Screen Snapshots": "",
  "Type Dropdown": "",
  "Where?\n(Air, Land, Sea)": ""
}