Event 896

{
  "border_violation_countries": [
    "PL",
    "LT",
    "LV",
    "EE",
    "FI"
  ],
  "category": "Uncategorized",
  "confidence": "Low",
  "confidence_rationale": "Claim made by a senior Latvian MOD official in a public media appearance and cited on a verified X account. Statement is geopolitical analysis but consistent with ongoing regional concerns.",
  "countries": [
    "Poland",
    "Lithuania",
    "Latvia",
    "Estonia",
    "Finland"
  ],
  "country": "Latvia",
  "defense_prep": {
    "links": [
      "https://x.com/OlenaWave/status/1923814935169044752"
    ],
    "title": "??Latvian Defense official warns of covert ??Russian mobilization into ??Belarus post-peace deal"
  },
  "description": "Latvia's Deputy State Secretary of the Ministry of Defense, General Andis Dilans, expressed concern that Russia could transfer troops to Belarus under the guise of covert mobilization exercises, particularly if a peace deal is reached with Ukraine.",
  "event_time_utc": "2025-05-17T12:00:00Z",
  "evidence": [
    "Screenshot of official's statement from video and X post",
    "Date and time of post shown: 6:56 PM · May 17, 2025"
  ],
  "evidence_quotes": [
    "Deputy State Secretary of the Latvian Ministry of Defense, General Andis Dilans, believes that Russia may carry out a large-scale transfer of troops to Belarus if some form of peace agreement is concluded with Ukraine.",
    "In his opinion, these will be covert mobilization exercises."
  ],
  "evidence_urls": [
    "https://x.com/OlenaWave/status/1923814935169044752"
  ],
  "extra": {
    "extra": {
      "extra": {
        "extra": {
          "evidence": [
            "Screenshot of official's statement from video and X post",
            "Date and time of post shown: 6:56 PM · May 17, 2025"
          ]
        }
      }
    }
  },
  "follow_up_by_country": [],
  "headline": "Latvian MOD official warns of possible Russian covert mobilization transfer to Belarus",
  "location_text": "Latvia (statement by MOD official)",
  "media_assets": [
    {
      "description": "Screenshot capture",
      "type": "screenshot",
      "url": "/media/event_896_1763942015_d2425b81.jpg"
    }
  ],
  "notes": "??Latvian Gen. Andis Dilans suggests Russia could use peace in Ukraine to redeploy troops to Belarus in ????covert exercises. ZAPAD-2025",
  "schema_version": "v1",
  "screenshot_count": 1,
  "sources": [
    "https://x.com/OlenaWave/status/1923814935169044752"
  ],
  "summary_short": "Latvian MOD official warns Russia may covertly transfer large numbers of troops to Belarus after any peace in Ukraine, as covert mobilization.",
  "url": "https://x.com/OlenaWave/status/1923814935169044752"
}

{
  "5th Column of Russians Inside (which countries)": "",
  "Attack Type": "",
  "Borders Including Sea, Air,  Violation or Sabotage (which countries)": "PL LT LV EE FI",
  "Continuous? (e.g. Jammers)": "",
  "Country (FI;EE;LV;LT;PL;BSR;Air)\nSeparated by Semicolon": "PL;LT;LV;EE;FI",
  "Date": "17-May-25",
  "Defense Prep Event (FI-EE-LV-LT-PL)": "??Latvian Defense official warns of covert ??Russian mobilization into ??Belarus post-peace deal",
  "Defense Prep Event (FI-EE-LV-LT-PL) REF LINK": "https://x.com/OlenaWave/status/1923814935169044752",
  "Follow-Up Link?  (FI,EE,LV,LT,PL, BSR, Air)": "",
  "Follow-Up NOTES": "",
  "Follow-Up incl. Investigation, Prosecution?  (FI,EE,LV,LT,PL, BSR, Air)": "",
  "Latitude, Longitude (WGS84, Decimal Degrees)": "",
  "NOTES": "??Latvian Gen. Andis Dilans suggests Russia could use peace in Ukraine to redeploy troops to Belarus in ????covert exercises. ZAPAD-2025",
  "Political Disruptions w/ Laws to Favor Kremlin (which countries)": "",
  "Russian-Belarus Terrorist Event (FI-EE-LV-LT-PL)": "",
  "Russian-Belarus Terrorist Event (FI-EE-LV-LT-PL) REF LINK": "",
  "Screen Snapshot": "",
  "Screen Snapshots": "",
  "Type Dropdown": "",
  "Where?\n(Air, Land, Sea)": ""
}