Event 41ea7aab-7e1e-4ded-8f11-ff9def3e672b

Approved event from Hybrid War Tracker

Status: Approved Confidence: High Classification: Military & Paramilitary Operations > High-Tech Military Tools > Drone swarms & UAV surveillance Country: Finland Where: Airspace Node: Node 1: Borders Tag: Finland Tag: Russia Tag: UkraineWar Tag: Drones Tag: GPSJamming Tag: NATO Tag: MilitaryIntelligence Tag: EasternSentry Tag: DroneWall Tag: AirspaceViolation Tag: HybridWarfare Aggressor Defense Confidence: High
🕐
Event Time
1w ago
Created
4d ago
✏️
Updated
3d ago

Summary

Headline: Risk of drones drifting into Finland's airspace growing, intelligence chief says

Short Summary: Finnish military intelligence warns of growing risk of drones drifting into Finland's airspace amid ongoing Ukraine conflict and Russian GPS jamming near the Gulf of Finland.

Extended Summary: On January 22, 2026, Major General Pekka Turunen, head of Finnish Defence Intelligence, highlighted a rising risk of drones drifting into Finland's airspace due to the ongoing war in Ukraine. The Finnish military intelligence report emphasizes that Ukraine's strikes near the Gulf of Finland and Russia's GPS jamming to counter these attacks could cause drones to be diverted into Finnish territory accidentally. So far, no such incidents have been reported. Finland shares a 1,340 km border with Russia and joined NATO in April 2023 following the invasion of Ukraine. The Finnish intelligence chief noted that the military threat level has not increased notably over the past year. European NATO members, reacting to unprecedented Russian drone airspace violations since September 2025, have agreed to develop a 'drone wall' to detect, track and intercept drones entering European airspace. NATO has deployed a US anti-drone system to its eastern flank and established the Eastern Sentry programme to deter Russian incursions. The Kremlin denies responsibility for these drone incidents. Finnish officials also noted that political turmoil caused by the US push to seize Greenland may have encouraged Russia to act more freely. The report underscores heightened vigilance in the region amid complex geopolitical tensions.

Description

Finnish Defence Intelligence warns of an increasing risk of long-range drones drifting into Finland's airspace due to Russia's GPS jamming countermeasures against Ukraine strikes near the Gulf of Finland. No drone incursions have yet been reported. Finland joined NATO in April 2023, and NATO is enhancing eastern border defenses with anti-drone systems and the Eastern Sentry programme after unprecedented drone violations attributed by some to Russia, which the Kremlin denies. The situation reflects broader geopolitical tensions and high alert across Europe.

Event Classification

Aggressor Event Defense Preparation Event

Rationale

The article clearly reports Russian hostile activity including GPS jamming affecting drones near the Finnish border (aggressor event). It also describes Finnish and NATO defensive reactions including intelligence assessments, deployment of anti-drone systems, and new protective programs (defense preparation).

Evidence

Quotes

"The risk of a drone drifting into Finnish airspace or onto Finnish territory is growing all the time, the more Ukraine strikes in this area near the Gulf of Finland," said Major General Pekka Turunen, Finnish Defence Intelligence chief.
"Ukraine has been targeting these oil ports... quite close to Finland and now we know how Russia is countering them by using GPS jamming, so if a drone was using GPS for navigation to reach its target, it could be diverted somewhere else through this jamming."
"There had not been any incidents reported so far," Turunen said.
"The military threat has not increased," Turunen noted about Finland's security situation compared to a year ago.
European leaders agreed to develop a 'drone wall' to detect, track and intercept drones violating NATO airspace following unprecedented drone flyovers in September 2025.
NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte announced the Eastern Sentry programme to deter further Russian incursions after a Polish airspace violation.
The Kremlin dismissed allegations that Russia is behind some of the unidentified drone flights in Europe as 'unfounded.'
"At least on a political level, it has probably had an encouraging effect on Russia," said Turunen regarding the political turmoil after Trump's Greenland initiative.
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