The Hybrid War Tracker (HWT) captures weak, under-threshold signals of Russian hybrid activity and preserves them in structured form for longitudinal OSINT analysis.
Hybrid operations appear fragmented when viewed incident-by-incident. Over time, recurring methods—border pressure, fifth-column activity, and legal-political manipulation—form observable patterns.
Russia's Blueprint blends sabotage, espionage, coercive pressure, and information campaigns. These operations tend to remain deniable, distributed, and below the threshold of conventional conflict, including activity that can accumulate into Article 4/5 relevance. Institutions often respond to isolated incidents and lose continuity; HWT is built to retain it.
By combining under-threshold signals with a century of Russian Blueprint knowledge, HWT links events across domains and time, enabling correlation, early warning, and risk identification for analysts, journalists, and policy institutions.
“Hybrid war” is an imperfect label. It’s often used as a catch-all that obscures agency and intent—sometimes as a polite euphemism for coercion, sabotage, and subversion. We agree with much of that criticism.
We keep the term for one pragmatic reason: it is the language most people search for. The name persists; the work is what matters.
In substance, HWT tracks undeclared, unconventional warfare conducted below the threshold of open armed conflict—often below Article 5—but warfare nonetheless: synchronized pressure across information, legal, economic, cyber, and grey-zone domains designed to weaken institutions without triggering a clean casus belli.
In plainer terms: coercion short of invasion. HWT exists to preserve these signals in structured form so patterns become visible over time.
HWT tracks hostile activity across domains used for disruption, coercion, and denial. We track:
Raw signals from media, social platforms, and primary trackers (maritime/aviation), plus direct submissions.
Entity, location, and timeline extraction; evidence capture and normalization.
Analyst validation to enforce schema, confidence scoring, and source quality.
Weekly briefs surface clusters, trends, anomalies, and gaps.
HWT is built by OSINT practitioners, analysts, and technically literate observers. Unsourced claims, opinion threads, and commentary-only links are rejected.
You can submit signals directly —or clip sources in one click using the Chrome extension and send them straight to HWT .
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Prefer one-click submissions? Install the HWT Chrome extension from the Web Store. Get extension .