Event f63cc9ea-7a35-44e4-bf64-5200b59a9130

Approved event from Hybrid War Tracker

Status: Approved Confidence: Low Category: Uncategorized Country: Lithuania Country: Poland Country: Belarus Country: Russia

Source: https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1786319143634977022.html

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Event Time

1y ago

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Created

1mo ago

✏️

Updated

1mo ago

Summary

Headline: The Suwałki Gap: Europe’s Most Threatened Border, Its Terrain and Russia’s Options

Short Summary: Thread analyses military risks and terrain challenges surrounding the Suwałki Gap, a critical zone between Belarus and Kaliningrad, discussing potential Russian attack routes and NATO defense concerns.

Description

Analytical discussion of the Suwałki Gap as Europe's most threatened border zone, assessing potential Russian offensive routes against the Baltic States and NATO vulnerabilities to a land incursion from Belarus toward Lithuania and Poland.

Evidence

Quotes

The singular invasion tinder-box of the east re: Europe. Russia and her Belarusian cover buddy. NATO’s concern miles to daylight.

The only few real attack axis could possibly come from, and they will be guarded.

Big north of Kaliningrad is shielded with the biggest river in Lithuania — Nemunas...

This leaves only an attack towards Siauliai or Vilnius from Belarus as a viable option.

Russian guy is grossly assuming, that his mechanized units dashed there...

They would need to cross Suwałki Gap — 60km city in Bialystok and logistics hub, Bambi, Panevėžys and Klaipėda all urban centers with over 100k population.

Most likely, if no help would come, they would eventually overwhelm the defenders, so it would take a while but longer than days.

Source

https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1786319143634977022.html