Signal
Submitted
Feb 13, 2026, 19:25 UTC
On December 25, 2024, the ESTLINK 2 submarine power cable between Finland and Estonia was disrupted, with Finnish authorities suspecting deliberate sabotage by the Russian tanker 'Eagle S'.
During Christmas Day 2024 at 12:26 UTC, the ESTLINK 2 cable, linking Finland and Estonia with a 658 MW power capacity, experienced a critical outage. Finnish grid operator Fingrid immediately prioritized investigating the fault, collaborating closely with Estonian national grid and authorities. While initially the nearby presence of the container ship Xin Xin Tian 2 was noted, attention quickly turned to the Russian oil tanker 'Eagle S', suspected of dragging its anchor and damaging the cable as well as related communications lines. Investigations by Finnish police, Border Guard, and National Bureau of Investigation included escorting 'Eagle S' to anchorage and conducting underwater seabed surveys that found drag marks and a missing anchor on the tanker. The incident is being treated as aggravated sabotage, highlighting concerns about hostile hybrid warfare tactics targeting critical infrastructure in the Baltic Sea. This event has spurred calls from analysts and commentators for stronger protective measures against foreign vessels suspected of hostile actions in alliance waters.
Confidence: High
The event is classified as aggressor activity because Finnish authorities officially investigate the incident as aggravated sabotage involving a Russian-linked tanker damaging critical submarine infrastructure. No allied defense preparation actions are described in this report.
Source URL
https://linkedin.com/posts/stefan-lundqvist-sedu_lo-at-1226-today-christmas-day-electricity-ugcPost-7277764962339422208-3WZX
Published as a hybrid-warfare signal with a public source and reviewer-approved assessment bands. See the methodology for how records are assessed.
{
"id": "0829feba-7b94-4420-99a4-4f3c30af8b28",
"url": "https://linkedin.com/posts/stefan-lundqvist-sedu_lo-at-1226-today-christmas-day-electricity-ugcPost-7277764962339422208-3WZX",
"source": "csv-import",
"status": "approved",
"category": "Energy & Infrastructure Attacks",
"subcategory": "Critical Infrastructure Sabotage",
"incident_type": "Power grids, pipelines",
"country": "Finland",
"source_reliability": "C",
"info_credibility": "3",
"tags": [
"Estlink2",
"submarine_cable",
"power_grid_sabotage",
"Russian_shadow_fleet",
"hybrid_warfare",
"Finland",
"Estonia",
"anchor_drag",
"critical_infrastructure",
"Estonian_Finnish_relations"
],
"nodes": [
"Node 1: Borders"
],
"countries": [],
"where_text": "Undersea",
"headline": "Estlink 2 Power Cable Between Finland and Estonia Disrupted on Christmas Day, Suspected Sabotage by Russian Shadow Fleet Tanker",
"description": "On December 25, 2024, at 12:26 UTC, the ESTLINK 2 submarine power cable, connecting Finland and Estonia with a capacity of 658 MW, was disrupted. Finnish national grid operator Fingrid reported the outage and launched a top-priority investigation. By evening, the cause remained unclear but involved cooperation with Estonian national grid and authorities. MarineTraffic data showed the Hong Kong-flagged container ship Xin Xin Tian 2 crossing the cable location at the time of disruption. More importantly, Finnish police suspect the Russian oil tanker 'Eagle S', part of Russia's so-called shadow fleet, of deliberately damaging the cable and additional communication lines by dragging its anchor. The tanker was escorted to anchorage at Svartbäck in Porvoo on December 28, where investigations revealed one missing anchor and seabed drag marks. Finnish Border Guard and National Bureau of Investigation conducted underwater surveys. The incident is officially investigated as aggravated sabotage.",
"summary_short": "On December 25, 2024, the ESTLINK 2 submarine power cable between Finland and Estonia was disrupted, with Finnish authorities suspecting deliberate sabotage by the Russian tanker 'Eagle S'.",
"summary_extended": "During Christmas Day 2024 at 12:26 UTC, the ESTLINK 2 cable, linking Finland and Estonia with a 658 MW power capacity, experienced a critical outage. Finnish grid operator Fingrid immediately prioritized investigating the fault, collaborating closely with Estonian national grid and authorities. While initially the nearby presence of the container ship Xin Xin Tian 2 was noted, attention quickly turned to the Russian oil tanker 'Eagle S', suspected of dragging its anchor and damaging the cable as well as related communications lines. Investigations by Finnish police, Border Guard, and National Bureau of Investigation included escorting 'Eagle S' to anchorage and conducting underwater seabed surveys that found drag marks and a missing anchor on the tanker. The incident is being treated as aggravated sabotage, highlighting concerns about hostile hybrid warfare tactics targeting critical infrastructure in the Baltic Sea. This event has spurred calls from analysts and commentators for stronger protective measures against foreign vessels suspected of hostile actions in alliance waters.",
"actor_primary": "Eagle S",
"target_primary": null,
"location_text": "Estlink 2 submarine cable between Helsinki and Tallinn",
"location_region": null,
"location_coordinates_lat": 59.35,
"location_coordinates_lon": 24.65,
"location_precision": "Approximate",
"is_aggressor_signal": true,
"signal_type": "HYBRID_SIGNAL",
"is_hybrid_war_signal": true,
"classification_complete": true,
"hybrid_signal_complete": true,
"classification_confidence": "High",
"classification_rationale": "The event is classified as aggressor activity because Finnish authorities officially investigate the incident as aggravated sabotage involving a Russian-linked tanker damaging critical submarine infrastructure. No allied defense preparation actions are described in this report.",
"event_time_utc": "2024-12-25T12:26:00.000Z",
"end_time_utc": null,
"event_time_confidence": "exact",
"created_at": "2026-02-13T19:25:09.614Z",
"updated_at": "2026-11-08T20:40:28.531Z",
"reliability_band": "strong",
"location_precision_band": "approximate",
"time_precision_band": "exact",
"severity_band": "significant",
"attribution_confidence_band": "medium",
"attribution_basis": "single_source"
}Source reliability
C
Info credibility
3
Event time
Dec 25, 2024, 12:26 UTC
Event time confidence
exact
Location
Estlink 2 submarine cable between Helsinki and Tallinn
Primary actor
Eagle S
Country
Finland
Tags
Estlink2, submarine_cable, power_grid_sabotage, Russian_shadow_fleet, hybrid_warfare, Finland, Estonia, anchor_drag, critical_infrastructure, Estonian_Finnish_relations
Nodes
Node 1: Borders
Signal
Submitted
Feb 13, 2026, 19:25 UTC
On December 25, 2024, the ESTLINK 2 submarine power cable between Finland and Estonia was disrupted, with Finnish authorities suspecting deliberate sabotage by the Russian tanker 'Eagle S'.
During Christmas Day 2024 at 12:26 UTC, the ESTLINK 2 cable, linking Finland and Estonia with a 658 MW power capacity, experienced a critical outage. Finnish grid operator Fingrid immediately prioritized investigating the fault, collaborating closely with Estonian national grid and authorities. While initially the nearby presence of the container ship Xin Xin Tian 2 was noted, attention quickly turned to the Russian oil tanker 'Eagle S', suspected of dragging its anchor and damaging the cable as well as related communications lines. Investigations by Finnish police, Border Guard, and National Bureau of Investigation included escorting 'Eagle S' to anchorage and conducting underwater seabed surveys that found drag marks and a missing anchor on the tanker. The incident is being treated as aggravated sabotage, highlighting concerns about hostile hybrid warfare tactics targeting critical infrastructure in the Baltic Sea. This event has spurred calls from analysts and commentators for stronger protective measures against foreign vessels suspected of hostile actions in alliance waters.
Confidence: High
The event is classified as aggressor activity because Finnish authorities officially investigate the incident as aggravated sabotage involving a Russian-linked tanker damaging critical submarine infrastructure. No allied defense preparation actions are described in this report.
Source URL
https://linkedin.com/posts/stefan-lundqvist-sedu_lo-at-1226-today-christmas-day-electricity-ugcPost-7277764962339422208-3WZX
Published as a hybrid-warfare signal with a public source and reviewer-approved assessment bands. See the methodology for how records are assessed.
{
"id": "0829feba-7b94-4420-99a4-4f3c30af8b28",
"url": "https://linkedin.com/posts/stefan-lundqvist-sedu_lo-at-1226-today-christmas-day-electricity-ugcPost-7277764962339422208-3WZX",
"source": "csv-import",
"status": "approved",
"category": "Energy & Infrastructure Attacks",
"subcategory": "Critical Infrastructure Sabotage",
"incident_type": "Power grids, pipelines",
"country": "Finland",
"source_reliability": "C",
"info_credibility": "3",
"tags": [
"Estlink2",
"submarine_cable",
"power_grid_sabotage",
"Russian_shadow_fleet",
"hybrid_warfare",
"Finland",
"Estonia",
"anchor_drag",
"critical_infrastructure",
"Estonian_Finnish_relations"
],
"nodes": [
"Node 1: Borders"
],
"countries": [],
"where_text": "Undersea",
"headline": "Estlink 2 Power Cable Between Finland and Estonia Disrupted on Christmas Day, Suspected Sabotage by Russian Shadow Fleet Tanker",
"description": "On December 25, 2024, at 12:26 UTC, the ESTLINK 2 submarine power cable, connecting Finland and Estonia with a capacity of 658 MW, was disrupted. Finnish national grid operator Fingrid reported the outage and launched a top-priority investigation. By evening, the cause remained unclear but involved cooperation with Estonian national grid and authorities. MarineTraffic data showed the Hong Kong-flagged container ship Xin Xin Tian 2 crossing the cable location at the time of disruption. More importantly, Finnish police suspect the Russian oil tanker 'Eagle S', part of Russia's so-called shadow fleet, of deliberately damaging the cable and additional communication lines by dragging its anchor. The tanker was escorted to anchorage at Svartbäck in Porvoo on December 28, where investigations revealed one missing anchor and seabed drag marks. Finnish Border Guard and National Bureau of Investigation conducted underwater surveys. The incident is officially investigated as aggravated sabotage.",
"summary_short": "On December 25, 2024, the ESTLINK 2 submarine power cable between Finland and Estonia was disrupted, with Finnish authorities suspecting deliberate sabotage by the Russian tanker 'Eagle S'.",
"summary_extended": "During Christmas Day 2024 at 12:26 UTC, the ESTLINK 2 cable, linking Finland and Estonia with a 658 MW power capacity, experienced a critical outage. Finnish grid operator Fingrid immediately prioritized investigating the fault, collaborating closely with Estonian national grid and authorities. While initially the nearby presence of the container ship Xin Xin Tian 2 was noted, attention quickly turned to the Russian oil tanker 'Eagle S', suspected of dragging its anchor and damaging the cable as well as related communications lines. Investigations by Finnish police, Border Guard, and National Bureau of Investigation included escorting 'Eagle S' to anchorage and conducting underwater seabed surveys that found drag marks and a missing anchor on the tanker. The incident is being treated as aggravated sabotage, highlighting concerns about hostile hybrid warfare tactics targeting critical infrastructure in the Baltic Sea. This event has spurred calls from analysts and commentators for stronger protective measures against foreign vessels suspected of hostile actions in alliance waters.",
"actor_primary": "Eagle S",
"target_primary": null,
"location_text": "Estlink 2 submarine cable between Helsinki and Tallinn",
"location_region": null,
"location_coordinates_lat": 59.35,
"location_coordinates_lon": 24.65,
"location_precision": "Approximate",
"is_aggressor_signal": true,
"signal_type": "HYBRID_SIGNAL",
"is_hybrid_war_signal": true,
"classification_complete": true,
"hybrid_signal_complete": true,
"classification_confidence": "High",
"classification_rationale": "The event is classified as aggressor activity because Finnish authorities officially investigate the incident as aggravated sabotage involving a Russian-linked tanker damaging critical submarine infrastructure. No allied defense preparation actions are described in this report.",
"event_time_utc": "2024-12-25T12:26:00.000Z",
"end_time_utc": null,
"event_time_confidence": "exact",
"created_at": "2026-02-13T19:25:09.614Z",
"updated_at": "2026-11-08T20:40:28.531Z",
"reliability_band": "strong",
"location_precision_band": "approximate",
"time_precision_band": "exact",
"severity_band": "significant",
"attribution_confidence_band": "medium",
"attribution_basis": "single_source"
}Source reliability
C
Info credibility
3
Event time
Dec 25, 2024, 12:26 UTC
Event time confidence
exact
Location
Estlink 2 submarine cable between Helsinki and Tallinn
Primary actor
Eagle S
Country
Finland
Tags
Estlink2, submarine_cable, power_grid_sabotage, Russian_shadow_fleet, hybrid_warfare, Finland, Estonia, anchor_drag, critical_infrastructure, Estonian_Finnish_relations
Nodes
Node 1: Borders