Estonian Prime Minister Kaja Kallas conveyed a strategic intelligence-based forecast that Russia may resume its military threat against Eastern NATO states within three to five years if a ceasefire occurs in Ukraine. She emphasized the crucial role of Western unity and the need for increased and sustained military support to Ukraine to blunt Russia's future threat potential. Kallas called for NATO to adopt a Cold War-style deterrence posture, including defense budgets rising to at least 2.5% of GDP for each member. This warning comes amid reports by German media Bild about a secret Bundeswehr training scenario portraying a prolonged military escalation between Russia and NATO, culminating in war in 2025. NATO experts warn this scenario is fictional but underscore the volatility of the threat environment. Kallas also highlighted the need for accountability for Russia's historical colonial wars and impediments to destabilization. The statements underline a long-term Western security challenge posed by Russia’s military ambitions and call for strategic preparedness.

Estonian Prime Minister Kaja Kallas conveyed a strategic intelligence-based forecast that Russia may resume its military threat against Eastern NATO states within three to five years if a ceasefire occurs in Ukraine. She emphasized the crucial role of Western unity and the need for increased and sustained military support to Ukraine to blunt Russia's future threat potential. Kallas called for NATO to adopt a Cold War-style deterrence posture, including defense budgets rising to at least 2.5% of GDP for each member. This warning comes amid reports by German media Bild about a secret Bundeswehr training scenario portraying a prolonged military escalation between Russia and NATO, culminating in war in 2025. NATO experts warn this scenario is fictional but underscore the volatility of the threat environment. Kallas also highlighted the need for accountability for Russia's historical colonial wars and impediments to destabilization. The statements underline a long-term Western security challenge posed by Russia’s military ambitions and call for strategic preparedness.