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Signal
Submitted
Feb 1, 2026, 00:14 UTC
Latvia's Constitution Protection Bureau publishes its 2025 annual report, warning of expanding Russian hybrid threats and influence campaigns targeting Latvia and Europe.
The Constitution Protection Bureau of Latvia released the unclassified part of its 2025 annual report on January 26, 2026, warning about Russia's continued efforts to weaken the West through military and hybrid means. The report states Russia’s perception of Latvia is increasingly similar to that of Ukraine before the war, with Russia employing new hybrid mechanisms such as legal tools to discredit Latvia internationally and apply pressure to alter policies regarding the Russian-speaking population. Despite Russia not currently posing a direct military threat to Latvia, SAB warns of signs indicating potential long-term plans. There is an emphasis on preparedness against influence operations planned ahead of Latvia’s fall 2026 parliamentary elections. SAB highlights that the militarization of Russia’s economy persists beyond the Ukraine conflict. The report further covers intelligence and counter-intelligence activities and is reviewed by Latvian government bodies for planning 2026 operations. SAB urges continued efforts to mitigate Russia's growing security threats to Latvia and NATO.
Confidence: High
The event is clearly described as a sovereign Latvian government agency publishing an official report that details ongoing and evolving Russian hybrid warfare threats including political and legal subversion targeting Latvia and NATO. The report explicitly warns of Russian influence attempts on elections and hybrid tactics. The classification as an aggressor event is warranted by the detailed description of Russian hostile hybrid actions. The defense preparation classification is implicitly s...
Source URL
https://sab.gov.lv/en/news/russia-continues-to-use-and-develop-new-hybrid-instruments-to-influence-latvia-constitution-protection-bureau-states-publishing-its-annual-report
Published as a Defense Preparations signal with a public source and reviewer-approved assessment bands. See the methodology for how records are assessed.
{
"id": "6fd06b8f-42fe-430c-b0dc-4c569cf869e3",
"url": "https://sab.gov.lv/en/news/russia-continues-to-use-and-develop-new-hybrid-instruments-to-influence-latvia-constitution-protection-bureau-states-publishing-its-annual-report",
"source": "extension",
"status": "approved",
"category": "Political & Legal Subversion",
"subcategory": "Political Manipulation",
"incident_type": "Creating/manipulating political movements",
"country": "Latvia",
"source_reliability": "A",
"info_credibility": "2",
"tags": [
"Latvia",
"SAB",
"Annual Report",
"defense preparations",
"Russia",
"hybrid warfare",
"disinformation",
"legal instruments",
"political influence",
"Constitution Protection Bureau",
"national security",
"parliamentary elections",
"NATO",
"security threats"
],
"nodes": [
"Node 1: Borders",
"Node 2: 5th Column"
],
"countries": [
"Latvia"
],
"where_text": "Land",
"headline": "Latvia’s Constitution Protection Bureau publishes 2025 annual report highlighting Russia’s hybrid warfare and security threats",
"description": "On January 26, 2026, Latvia's Constitution Protection Bureau (SAB) released the unclassified part of its 2025 annual report. The report analyzes Russia’s intensified efforts to weaken the West, including Latvia, through hybrid instruments such as legal manipulation and disinformation targeting Latvia's international standing and policies, especially regarding its Russian-speaking population. SAB assesses that Russia continues to pose a significant military threat to Europe and NATO despite no immediate direct military threat to Latvia, emphasizing the necessity to counteract influence operations ahead of Latvia's upcoming parliamentary elections in fall 2026. The report also provides intelligence, counter-intelligence, and cybersecurity overviews, with forecasts for evolving security risks and stresses the need for vigilance against expanding Russian hybrid tactics.",
"summary_short": "Latvia's Constitution Protection Bureau publishes its 2025 annual report, warning of expanding Russian hybrid threats and influence campaigns targeting Latvia and Europe.",
"summary_extended": "The Constitution Protection Bureau of Latvia released the unclassified part of its 2025 annual report on January 26, 2026, warning about Russia's continued efforts to weaken the West through military and hybrid means. The report states Russia’s perception of Latvia is increasingly similar to that of Ukraine before the war, with Russia employing new hybrid mechanisms such as legal tools to discredit Latvia internationally and apply pressure to alter policies regarding the Russian-speaking population. Despite Russia not currently posing a direct military threat to Latvia, SAB warns of signs indicating potential long-term plans. There is an emphasis on preparedness against influence operations planned ahead of Latvia’s fall 2026 parliamentary elections. SAB highlights that the militarization of Russia’s economy persists beyond the Ukraine conflict. The report further covers intelligence and counter-intelligence activities and is reviewed by Latvian government bodies for planning 2026 operations. SAB urges continued efforts to mitigate Russia's growing security threats to Latvia and NATO.",
"actor_primary": "Russia",
"target_primary": null,
"location_text": null,
"location_region": "",
"location_coordinates_lat": null,
"location_coordinates_lon": null,
"location_precision": "Regional",
"is_aggressor_signal": true,
"signal_type": "DEFENSE_PREP_SIGNAL",
"is_hybrid_war_signal": false,
"classification_complete": true,
"hybrid_signal_complete": true,
"classification_confidence": "High",
"classification_rationale": "The event is clearly described as a sovereign Latvian government agency publishing an official report that details ongoing and evolving Russian hybrid warfare threats including political and legal subversion targeting Latvia and NATO. The report explicitly warns of Russian influence attempts on elections and hybrid tactics. The classification as an aggressor event is warranted by the detailed description of Russian hostile hybrid actions. The defense preparation classification is implicitly s...",
"event_time_utc": "2026-01-26T00:00:00.000Z",
"end_time_utc": null,
"event_time_confidence": "unknown",
"created_at": "2026-02-01T00:14:36.415Z",
"updated_at": "2026-11-04T08:36:03.522Z",
"reliability_band": "strong",
"location_precision_band": "regional",
"time_precision_band": "unknown",
"severity_band": "moderate",
"attribution_confidence_band": "high",
"attribution_basis": "single_source"
}Source reliability
A
Info credibility
2
Event time
Jan 26, 2026, 00:00 UTC
Event time confidence
unknown
Location
Land
Primary actor
Russia
Country
Latvia
Countries
Latvia
Tags
Latvia, SAB, Annual Report, defense preparations, Russia, hybrid warfare, disinformation, legal instruments, political influence, Constitution Protection Bureau, national security, parliamentary elections, NATO, security threats
Nodes
Node 1: Borders, Node 2: 5th Column
Signal
Submitted
Feb 1, 2026, 00:14 UTC
Latvia's Constitution Protection Bureau publishes its 2025 annual report, warning of expanding Russian hybrid threats and influence campaigns targeting Latvia and Europe.
The Constitution Protection Bureau of Latvia released the unclassified part of its 2025 annual report on January 26, 2026, warning about Russia's continued efforts to weaken the West through military and hybrid means. The report states Russia’s perception of Latvia is increasingly similar to that of Ukraine before the war, with Russia employing new hybrid mechanisms such as legal tools to discredit Latvia internationally and apply pressure to alter policies regarding the Russian-speaking population. Despite Russia not currently posing a direct military threat to Latvia, SAB warns of signs indicating potential long-term plans. There is an emphasis on preparedness against influence operations planned ahead of Latvia’s fall 2026 parliamentary elections. SAB highlights that the militarization of Russia’s economy persists beyond the Ukraine conflict. The report further covers intelligence and counter-intelligence activities and is reviewed by Latvian government bodies for planning 2026 operations. SAB urges continued efforts to mitigate Russia's growing security threats to Latvia and NATO.
Confidence: High
The event is clearly described as a sovereign Latvian government agency publishing an official report that details ongoing and evolving Russian hybrid warfare threats including political and legal subversion targeting Latvia and NATO. The report explicitly warns of Russian influence attempts on elections and hybrid tactics. The classification as an aggressor event is warranted by the detailed description of Russian hostile hybrid actions. The defense preparation classification is implicitly s...
Source URL
https://sab.gov.lv/en/news/russia-continues-to-use-and-develop-new-hybrid-instruments-to-influence-latvia-constitution-protection-bureau-states-publishing-its-annual-report
Published as a Defense Preparations signal with a public source and reviewer-approved assessment bands. See the methodology for how records are assessed.
{
"id": "6fd06b8f-42fe-430c-b0dc-4c569cf869e3",
"url": "https://sab.gov.lv/en/news/russia-continues-to-use-and-develop-new-hybrid-instruments-to-influence-latvia-constitution-protection-bureau-states-publishing-its-annual-report",
"source": "extension",
"status": "approved",
"category": "Political & Legal Subversion",
"subcategory": "Political Manipulation",
"incident_type": "Creating/manipulating political movements",
"country": "Latvia",
"source_reliability": "A",
"info_credibility": "2",
"tags": [
"Latvia",
"SAB",
"Annual Report",
"defense preparations",
"Russia",
"hybrid warfare",
"disinformation",
"legal instruments",
"political influence",
"Constitution Protection Bureau",
"national security",
"parliamentary elections",
"NATO",
"security threats"
],
"nodes": [
"Node 1: Borders",
"Node 2: 5th Column"
],
"countries": [
"Latvia"
],
"where_text": "Land",
"headline": "Latvia’s Constitution Protection Bureau publishes 2025 annual report highlighting Russia’s hybrid warfare and security threats",
"description": "On January 26, 2026, Latvia's Constitution Protection Bureau (SAB) released the unclassified part of its 2025 annual report. The report analyzes Russia’s intensified efforts to weaken the West, including Latvia, through hybrid instruments such as legal manipulation and disinformation targeting Latvia's international standing and policies, especially regarding its Russian-speaking population. SAB assesses that Russia continues to pose a significant military threat to Europe and NATO despite no immediate direct military threat to Latvia, emphasizing the necessity to counteract influence operations ahead of Latvia's upcoming parliamentary elections in fall 2026. The report also provides intelligence, counter-intelligence, and cybersecurity overviews, with forecasts for evolving security risks and stresses the need for vigilance against expanding Russian hybrid tactics.",
"summary_short": "Latvia's Constitution Protection Bureau publishes its 2025 annual report, warning of expanding Russian hybrid threats and influence campaigns targeting Latvia and Europe.",
"summary_extended": "The Constitution Protection Bureau of Latvia released the unclassified part of its 2025 annual report on January 26, 2026, warning about Russia's continued efforts to weaken the West through military and hybrid means. The report states Russia’s perception of Latvia is increasingly similar to that of Ukraine before the war, with Russia employing new hybrid mechanisms such as legal tools to discredit Latvia internationally and apply pressure to alter policies regarding the Russian-speaking population. Despite Russia not currently posing a direct military threat to Latvia, SAB warns of signs indicating potential long-term plans. There is an emphasis on preparedness against influence operations planned ahead of Latvia’s fall 2026 parliamentary elections. SAB highlights that the militarization of Russia’s economy persists beyond the Ukraine conflict. The report further covers intelligence and counter-intelligence activities and is reviewed by Latvian government bodies for planning 2026 operations. SAB urges continued efforts to mitigate Russia's growing security threats to Latvia and NATO.",
"actor_primary": "Russia",
"target_primary": null,
"location_text": null,
"location_region": "",
"location_coordinates_lat": null,
"location_coordinates_lon": null,
"location_precision": "Regional",
"is_aggressor_signal": true,
"signal_type": "DEFENSE_PREP_SIGNAL",
"is_hybrid_war_signal": false,
"classification_complete": true,
"hybrid_signal_complete": true,
"classification_confidence": "High",
"classification_rationale": "The event is clearly described as a sovereign Latvian government agency publishing an official report that details ongoing and evolving Russian hybrid warfare threats including political and legal subversion targeting Latvia and NATO. The report explicitly warns of Russian influence attempts on elections and hybrid tactics. The classification as an aggressor event is warranted by the detailed description of Russian hostile hybrid actions. The defense preparation classification is implicitly s...",
"event_time_utc": "2026-01-26T00:00:00.000Z",
"end_time_utc": null,
"event_time_confidence": "unknown",
"created_at": "2026-02-01T00:14:36.415Z",
"updated_at": "2026-11-04T08:36:03.522Z",
"reliability_band": "strong",
"location_precision_band": "regional",
"time_precision_band": "unknown",
"severity_band": "moderate",
"attribution_confidence_band": "high",
"attribution_basis": "single_source"
}Source reliability
A
Info credibility
2
Event time
Jan 26, 2026, 00:00 UTC
Event time confidence
unknown
Location
Land
Primary actor
Russia
Country
Latvia
Countries
Latvia
Tags
Latvia, SAB, Annual Report, defense preparations, Russia, hybrid warfare, disinformation, legal instruments, political influence, Constitution Protection Bureau, national security, parliamentary elections, NATO, security threats
Nodes
Node 1: Borders, Node 2: 5th Column