The Finnish Security Intelligence Service (Supo) reported on March 26, 2024, that Russia remains Finland's primary security threat. Since 2023, Russia has been deliberately directing individuals lacking proper travel documents to cross into Finland at the eastern border, a tactic characterized as bullying aimed at pressuring Finland over its NATO membership. Supo's acting director Teemu Turunen described this migrant instrumentalisation as a long-term issue but assessed the immediate likelihood of military aggression as low given Russia's preoccupations in Ukraine. Russian espionage and malign influence activities, including intimidation messaging and exploitation of criminal networks, remain high priorities for Finnish security. The threat from asylum seekers acting as spies is assessed as minimal, and the Russian diaspora in Finland is not considered a destabilizing influence. Supo also noted Chinese intelligence efforts targeting Finland. The agency maintains vigilant border screening to mitigate these ongoing threats while underscoring the need for resilience against intelligence operations despite the lack of an imminent military threat.

The Finnish Security Intelligence Service (Supo) reported on March 26, 2024, that Russia remains Finland's primary security threat. Since 2023, Russia has been deliberately directing individuals lacking proper travel documents to cross into Finland at the eastern border, a tactic characterized as bullying aimed at pressuring Finland over its NATO membership. Supo's acting director Teemu Turunen described this migrant instrumentalisation as a long-term issue but assessed the immediate likelihood of military aggression as low given Russia's preoccupations in Ukraine. Russian espionage and malign influence activities, including intimidation messaging and exploitation of criminal networks, remain high priorities for Finnish security. The threat from asylum seekers acting as spies is assessed as minimal, and the Russian diaspora in Finland is not considered a destabilizing influence. Supo also noted Chinese intelligence efforts targeting Finland. The agency maintains vigilant border screening to mitigate these ongoing threats while underscoring the need for resilience against intelligence operations despite the lack of an imminent military threat.