The article discusses the shift in Russian military strategy towards hybrid warfare, highlighting its methods and implications for Western responses.

Military & Paramilitary OperationsUnconventional / ParamilitaryProxy forces, militias, mercenaries (e.g. Wagner-type groups)

Aggressor

Summary

This article analyzes the transformation in Russian military strategy towards a focus on hybrid warfare, especially in the context of countering Western influence, as evidenced by their operations in Crimea.

Classification

Confidence: High

The article provides a thorough examination of Russia's hybrid warfare strategy, showing hostile intent towards Western influence.

Source URL

https://ir101.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2018/05/thornton-2015-the-changing-nature-of-modern-warfare.pdf

Open source

Provenance

Publisher: extension
Submitted: Feb 14, 2026, 12:22 UTC
Last updated: Nov 9, 2026, 06:58 UTC
Event time: Sep 4, 2015, 00:00 UTC

Published as a hybrid-warfare signal with a public source and reviewer-approved assessment bands. See the methodology for how records are assessed.

Raw record

{
  "id": "d251eb27-3a8c-4c6d-815b-d23f0a80118f",
  "url": "https://ir101.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2018/05/thornton-2015-the-changing-nature-of-modern-warfare.pdf",
  "source": "extension",
  "status": "approved",
  "category": "Military & Paramilitary Operations",
  "subcategory": "Unconventional / Paramilitary",
  "incident_type": "Proxy forces, militias, mercenaries (e.g. Wagner-type groups)",
  "country": "Russian Federation",
  "source_reliability": "C",
  "info_credibility": "3",
  "tags": [
    "Hybrid Warfare",
    "information operations",
    "Military Strategy",
    "Russia",
    "NATO"
  ],
  "nodes": [],
  "countries": [],
  "where_text": "Land",
  "headline": null,
  "description": "This article analyzes the transformation in Russian military strategy towards a focus on hybrid warfare, especially in the context of countering Western influence, as evidenced by their operations in Crimea.",
  "summary_short": "The article discusses the shift in Russian military strategy towards hybrid warfare, highlighting its methods and implications for Western responses.",
  "summary_extended": null,
  "actor_primary": "Russian military",
  "target_primary": null,
  "location_text": "Russian Federation",
  "location_region": null,
  "location_coordinates_lat": 61.52401,
  "location_coordinates_lon": 105.318756,
  "location_precision": "Regional",
  "is_aggressor_signal": true,
  "signal_type": "HYBRID_SIGNAL",
  "is_hybrid_war_signal": true,
  "classification_complete": true,
  "hybrid_signal_complete": true,
  "classification_confidence": "High",
  "classification_rationale": "The article provides a thorough examination of Russia's hybrid warfare strategy, showing hostile intent towards Western influence.",
  "event_time_utc": "2015-09-04T00:00:00.000Z",
  "end_time_utc": null,
  "event_time_confidence": "pm24h",
  "created_at": "2026-02-14T12:22:55.053Z",
  "updated_at": "2026-11-09T06:58:21.434Z",
  "reliability_band": "strong",
  "location_precision_band": "regional",
  "time_precision_band": "within_24h",
  "severity_band": "significant",
  "attribution_confidence_band": "high",
  "attribution_basis": "independent_sources"
}

Public assessmentReliability: StrongSeverity: SignificantAttribution: HighIndependence confirmedTime: Same dayLocation: Regional

Source reliability

Info credibility

Event time

Sep 4, 2015, 00:00 UTC

Event time confidence

pm24h

Location

Russian Federation

Primary actor

Russian military

Country

Russian Federation

Tags

Hybrid Warfare, information operations, Military Strategy, Russia, NATO

Loading signal...

{ "id": "d251eb27-3a8c-4c6d-815b-d23f0a80118f", "url": "https://ir101.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2018/05/thornton-2015-the-changing-nature-of-modern-warfare.pdf", "source": "extension", "status": "approved", "category": "Military & Paramilitary Operations", "subcategory": "Unconventional / Paramilitary", "incident_type": "Proxy forces, militias, mercenaries (e.g. Wagner-type groups)", "country": "Russian Federation", "source_reliability": "C", "info_credibility": "3", "tags": [ "Hybrid Warfare", "information operations", "Military Strategy", "Russia", "NATO" ], "nodes": [], "countries": [], "where_text": "Land", "headline": null, "description": "This article analyzes the transformation in Russian military strategy towards a focus on hybrid warfare, especially in the context of countering Western influence, as evidenced by their operations in Crimea.", "summary_short": "The article discusses the shift in Russian military strategy towards hybrid warfare, highlighting its methods and implications for Western responses.", "summary_extended": null, "actor_primary": "Russian military", "target_primary": null, "location_text": "Russian Federation", "location_region": null, "location_coordinates_lat": 61.52401, "location_coordinates_lon": 105.318756, "location_precision": "Regional", "is_aggressor_signal": true, "signal_type": "HYBRID_SIGNAL", "is_hybrid_war_signal": true, "classification_complete": true, "hybrid_signal_complete": true, "classification_confidence": "High", "classification_rationale": "The article provides a thorough examination of Russia's hybrid warfare strategy, showing hostile intent towards Western influence.", "event_time_utc": "2015-09-04T00:00:00.000Z", "end_time_utc": null, "event_time_confidence": "pm24h", "created_at": "2026-02-14T12:22:55.053Z", "updated_at": "2026-11-09T06:58:21.434Z", "reliability_band": "strong", "location_precision_band": "regional", "time_precision_band": "within_24h", "severity_band": "significant", "attribution_confidence_band": "high", "attribution_basis": "independent_sources" }