Signal
Submitted
Oct 18, 2026, 20:43 UTC
Russian satellite KOSMOS 2612 maneuvers closely near US-registered, Ukrainian-used ICEYE-X36 satellite with a non-consensual rendezvous in October 2026, raising concerns of a possible ASAT attack.
The Russian military satellite KOSMOS 2612, launched on 16 April 2026 from Plesetsk, has been conducting a series of maneuvers since 30 September 2026 to approach and synchronize orbit parameters with ICEYE-X36, a US-registered, reportedly Ukrainian-utilized synthetic aperture radar (SAR) satellite. As of 17 October 2026, 18:15 UTC, the two satellites were within 1-2 km of each other, with projections indicating a possible approach to within a few meters in the early hours of 18 October. On 18 October 2026, at approximately 01:35 UTC, a close approach occurred potentially within a few hundred meters or closer. Orbital data suggest KOSMOS 2612 performed additional maneuvers around this time. There is no evidence from orbital elements that ICEYE-X36 was disturbed or damaged. The rendezvous and proximity operation (RPO) is completely non-consensual and considered worrisome given the hostile context between Russia and Ukraine. Attribution of any interference or damage remains difficult. This incident may represent a first potential on-orbit anti-satellite (ASAT) attack attempt.
Confidence: High
The close proximity maneuvers by the Russian military satellite near a Ukrainian-utilized satellite in contested conflict conditions and the non-consensual nature of the rendezvous strongly indicate hostile aggressor activity targeted at potential satellite interference or damage.
Source URL
https://sattrackcam.blogspot.com/2026/10/kosmos-2612-and-iceye-x36-worrisome-cat.html
Source reliability
F
Info credibility
6
Event time
Oct 18, 2026, 01:35 UTC
Event time confidence
unknown
Location
Low Earth Orbit
Primary actor
Russian military satellite KOSMOS 2612
Country
Russian Federation
Tags
ASAT, RPO, Russia, Ukraine, Satellite maneuvers, Space conflict, Close approach, ICEYE-X36, KOSMOS 2612
Signal
Submitted
Oct 18, 2026, 20:43 UTC
Russian satellite KOSMOS 2612 maneuvers closely near US-registered, Ukrainian-used ICEYE-X36 satellite with a non-consensual rendezvous in October 2026, raising concerns of a possible ASAT attack.
The Russian military satellite KOSMOS 2612, launched on 16 April 2026 from Plesetsk, has been conducting a series of maneuvers since 30 September 2026 to approach and synchronize orbit parameters with ICEYE-X36, a US-registered, reportedly Ukrainian-utilized synthetic aperture radar (SAR) satellite. As of 17 October 2026, 18:15 UTC, the two satellites were within 1-2 km of each other, with projections indicating a possible approach to within a few meters in the early hours of 18 October. On 18 October 2026, at approximately 01:35 UTC, a close approach occurred potentially within a few hundred meters or closer. Orbital data suggest KOSMOS 2612 performed additional maneuvers around this time. There is no evidence from orbital elements that ICEYE-X36 was disturbed or damaged. The rendezvous and proximity operation (RPO) is completely non-consensual and considered worrisome given the hostile context between Russia and Ukraine. Attribution of any interference or damage remains difficult. This incident may represent a first potential on-orbit anti-satellite (ASAT) attack attempt.
Confidence: High
The close proximity maneuvers by the Russian military satellite near a Ukrainian-utilized satellite in contested conflict conditions and the non-consensual nature of the rendezvous strongly indicate hostile aggressor activity targeted at potential satellite interference or damage.
Source URL
https://sattrackcam.blogspot.com/2026/10/kosmos-2612-and-iceye-x36-worrisome-cat.html
Source reliability
F
Info credibility
6
Event time
Oct 18, 2026, 01:35 UTC
Event time confidence
unknown
Location
Low Earth Orbit
Primary actor
Russian military satellite KOSMOS 2612
Country
Russian Federation
Tags
ASAT, RPO, Russia, Ukraine, Satellite maneuvers, Space conflict, Close approach, ICEYE-X36, KOSMOS 2612