Russia plans to increase hybrid warfare operations against NATO through New Generation Warfare tactics, testing alliance defenses.

Military & Paramilitary OperationsUnconventional / ParamilitaryUnknown

Aggressor

Summary

Analysis of Russia's ongoing hybrid warfare tactics in NATO countries, emphasizing the potential escalation into a full-scale New Generation Warfare campaign over the next two years.

Classification

Confidence: High

The content clearly outlines Russia's hostile intentions and tactics aimed at destabilizing NATO.

Source URL

https://assets.recordedfuture.com/insikt-report-pdfs/2026/ta-ru-2026-0224.pdf

Open source

Provenance

Publisher: extension
Submitted: Feb 26, 2026, 16:07 UTC
Last updated: Nov 4, 2026, 08:35 UTC
Event time: Feb 24, 2026, 00:00 UTC

Published as a hybrid-warfare signal with a public source and reviewer-approved assessment bands. See the methodology for how records are assessed.

Raw record

{
  "id": "fd494c2a-3ffa-4925-9d9e-37fc21d53afd",
  "url": "https://assets.recordedfuture.com/insikt-report-pdfs/2026/ta-ru-2026-0224.pdf",
  "source": "extension",
  "status": "approved",
  "category": "Military & Paramilitary Operations",
  "subcategory": "Unconventional / Paramilitary",
  "incident_type": "Unknown",
  "country": "Russian Federation",
  "source_reliability": "C",
  "info_credibility": "3",
  "tags": [
    "Hybrid Warfare",
    "New Generation Warfare",
    "NATO",
    "Russia",
    "offensive cyber operations",
    "Political Influence"
  ],
  "nodes": [],
  "countries": [],
  "where_text": "Land",
  "headline": null,
  "description": "Analysis of Russia's ongoing hybrid warfare tactics in NATO countries, emphasizing the potential escalation into a full-scale New Generation Warfare campaign over the next two years.",
  "summary_short": "Russia plans to increase hybrid warfare operations against NATO through New Generation Warfare tactics, testing alliance defenses.",
  "summary_extended": null,
  "actor_primary": "Russia",
  "target_primary": null,
  "location_text": "Russian Federation",
  "location_region": null,
  "location_coordinates_lat": 61.52401,
  "location_coordinates_lon": 105.318756,
  "location_precision": "Regional",
  "is_aggressor_signal": true,
  "signal_type": "HYBRID_SIGNAL",
  "is_hybrid_war_signal": true,
  "classification_complete": true,
  "hybrid_signal_complete": true,
  "classification_confidence": "High",
  "classification_rationale": "The content clearly outlines Russia's hostile intentions and tactics aimed at destabilizing NATO.",
  "event_time_utc": "2026-02-24T00:00:00.000Z",
  "end_time_utc": null,
  "event_time_confidence": "unknown",
  "created_at": "2026-02-26T16:07:00.033Z",
  "updated_at": "2026-11-04T08:35:32.139Z",
  "reliability_band": "strong",
  "location_precision_band": "regional",
  "time_precision_band": "unknown",
  "severity_band": "significant",
  "attribution_confidence_band": "high",
  "attribution_basis": "independent_sources"
}

Public assessmentReliability: StrongSeverity: SignificantAttribution: HighIndependence confirmedTime: UnknownLocation: Regional

Source reliability

Info credibility

Event time

Feb 24, 2026, 00:00 UTC

Event time confidence

unknown

Location

Russian Federation

Primary actor

Russia

Country

Russian Federation

Tags

Hybrid Warfare, New Generation Warfare, NATO, Russia, offensive cyber operations, Political Influence

Loading signal...

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